Syria

I have noticed something about the discussion about Syria, the Kurds, and Trump’s decision to remove about 50 American soldiers from the area.

We’re not having one.

Leftists who were chanting “No blood for oil!” not so long ago are now proclaiming we’re abandoning an ally to genocide.

Rightists who are also upset about abandoning an ally don’t seem to be curious about whether the PPK (Kurdish Workers Party) faction in the area aren’t kind of well, communist.

But the Kurds are our allies against ISIS!

News flash, Turkey is also our “ally.” They’re a NATO member and we’re committed to the common defense, though some of us thought letting Turkey into the alliance might not have been a good idea.
So quick quiz.

Who are the Kurds, where is their homeland, what is the majority religion, and what language do they speak?

Next, where is Syria and who runs the place? Then same questions as above.

How’d you do?

Yeah, me neither. Fact is, I know a little about the Kurds because I’ve known some and got curious about them. I know far less about Syria although I should because I’m a history buff and it’s the ancient home of the civilizations of Sumer, Akkad, and Assyria where the name comes from.

So quick cheat sheet. The Kurds are not Arabs, they’re ethnically and linguistically close to Iranians. They’re mostly Sunni Muslims but there are also Shia Muslims and followers of Alevism, Yarsanism, Yazidism, Zoroastrianism and Christianity.

A Kurdish woman once told me some worship Shaitan or Satan, and I have no idea what she meant by that. A Kurdish gentleman I knew once complained about how, “Those damned Arabs shoved Islam down our throats.”

There are between 30 and 45 million Kurds worldwide, they are the largest ethnic group in the world without a state of their own, and their ancient homeland Kurdistan is an area that covers parts of Iraq, Turkey, Iran, and a piece of Syria. All of them countries which are not particularly keen on ceding territory to make a new country.

Fun fact, Saladin the chivalrous enemy of the Crusaders who recaptured Jerusalem was a Kurd.

Syrians are mostly Sunni Muslim, but there are also Shia and substantial minorities of Alawite, Ismaili, and Salafi Muslims. Not to mention Druse, Mandeans, Yazidis, Jews, and Christians.

Around the beginning of the 20th century Syria took in Armenian refugees from the Turkish massacres the Turks still deny ever happened.

Syria is the only country with an official Bathist ideology. Ba’athism is a pan-Arab movement that holds all Arabs should be in one state. It is more-or-less secular and socialist.

OK, how much of that did you know? Truthfully, I’m better informed than most and have lived in the region and I had to look most of it up.

Now of the people whose opinions you have been hearing a lot lately, how many of them do you think have done even that much research?

Probably not many, because the more you look into it the more confused you get.

If we’re going to be honest with ourselves, we’re largely forming opinions about the situation in Syria based on our opinion of the current occupant of the White House and what he just did.

That and the fact that everybody wants out of that forsaken region but we don’t like to look at what happens when we do leave.

Then again we don’t like to look at what happens when we stay and try to “fix” things there either.

Posted in Op-eds, Politics | 4 Comments

Trump’s speech at the UN

I am again seriously impressed by the disconnect between the reality star in the White House and the President of the United States.

Is it possible there are two Donald Trumps? Does he have a twin brother who’s in charge of Twitter while the president writes speeches?

What else could explain the chaotic undisciplined twiterstorm versus the focused, well-organized, down to earth yet inspiring speeches?

If you like Trump you should watch the entire speech.

If you loathe Trump you must watch it.

Agree or disagree, Trump defined the issues and made his case without rancor or rage, in marked contrast with the disturbed child who also spoke at the UN recently – or even his own public persona.

Globalism versus nationalism; Trump argued that every nation has the right and the responsibility to serve their own interests first. Which among other things means control over their borders.

He furthermore said that this is the only basis for peace, respect, and friendship between nations.

Then he said nice things about how Mexico has been cooperating on us with that problem.

On the trade war with China, where he is most at odds with his own supporters, he outlined China’s arrogance, currency manipulations , and theft of intellectual property with concrete examples. He made the case for sanctions but on a hopeful note that it will be worked out and massaged the ego of Chinese President Xi Jinping.

That’s a nice balance between a message of “we’re not going to tolerate you messing with us anymore” and “but we respect you” so necessary for dealing with leaders from cultures notoriously touchy about face.

He called out Iran and Venezuela as brutal dictatorships, but affirmed our sympathy with the suffering of their people.

And significantly he mentioned there is food waiting for the starving people of Venezuela once the walls come down. Which incongruously made me think of Charleton Heston playing El Cid at the siege of Valencia where he wheeled the catapults up to the walls – and flung loaves of bread over them.

And here is where he defined the difference between two views of the world order.
“Like my beloved country, each nation represented in this hall has a cherished history, culture, and heritage that is worth defending and celebrating, and which gives us our singular potential and strength.”

There is a great deal of talk about “diversity” and “multiculturalism” these days. Which sounds great except the people who do most of the talking expect a rigid intellectual conformity among all the best people, and who seem to have little real understanding that other cultures really are quite different from ours. Their vision of a globalist future seems monotonously bland, like the world remade into a California suburb.

And he repeated his previous statement that, “America will never be a socialist country” and called out socialism for the murder of a minimum 100 million people in the past century.

I realize many people have a different definition of socialism more like the capitalist social democracies of Europe. Well if you do, now you have to explicitly define what you mean and defend your position because Trump has drawn a line in the sand.

If you agree with Trump I think you’ll be heartened that your position is not being represented by the bombastic idiot he is portrayed as, with some justification to be sure.

If you disagree I’d say watch it more than once, analyze it, and formulate your answers to it point-by-point. Because this is an argument that cannot be answered by a screaming hissy fit.

A collection of Steve Browne’s essays and newspaper columns, “The View from Flyover Country: A Rural Columnist Looks at Life in the 21st Century” is available on Amazon Kindle.

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When ideology trumps ethics

In September Abel Cedeno, will be sentenced for the killing of one Matthew McCree, 15, and wounding of Arane Leboy, then 16, in 2017, at the Urban Assembly School for Wildlife Conservation in the Bronx.

Cedeno, then 17, claimed self-defense and that he had been the target of bullying since he was in sixth grade, because he is gay. He claimed he was trying to leave when he was pinned to the wall and punched by McCree and others when he pulled a knife and defended himself.

There is a video which appears to support his claim.

There was also testimony from a teacher who said McCree, “pushed me aside, hell-bent on getting at Abel.”

Cedeno said he had complained to teachers and administration, who did nothing. And that he had requested transfer to another school and was ignored.

The judge at a bench trial Cedeno dismissed claims of self-defense and convicted him of first-degree manslaughter, first-degree assault and fourth-degree criminal possession of a weapon. He is facing a possible 50-year sentence.

The school closed in 2018, not specifically because of the case but it can’t have helped. The school tried “to nudge kids in the direction of careers in science by getting them outside exploring the world” by taking kids to zoos, aquariums, parks, etc.

Sounds great. Evidently not so great in practice after a no-nonsense dean with a strict approach to discipline was replaced in 2014 by a progressive educator who lowered official discipline rates by simply not enforcing rules, with predictable results.

This case received a lot of attention in New York but not much anywhere else. Perhaps it does not fit a narrative. The accused is Hispanic and gay, the victims are black. That’s the kind of thing that causes discomfort, not righteous outrage. We don’t know who to side with because there is no obvious oppressor-oppressed scenario.

Some call McCree a vile thug, others say he was a nice guy who just happened to shove a teacher aside to pin a kid to the wall and start punching him all in the spirit of fun.

For what it’s worth, I think this was very likely a legitimate case of self-defense. Carrying a weapon to school makes Cedeno technically guilty of the weapons charge but is mitigated by circumstances.

However some sources have it Cedeno called his tormenters, “You p******s” as he left, which may have counted against him, as it is shall we say, not considered an attempt at de-escalation.

(Oh Lord, how many times do we tell people. When escaping a dangerous situation do not try to have the last word!)

Self-defense is legally a very dicey proposition for a number of reasons. It’s an affirmative defense, meaning you are admitting to a normally illegal act thus waiving your right against self-incrimination.

Attitudes towards self-defense vary from place to place in both the minds of the prosecutors and potential jurors. They vary from, “OK he had it coming” to “Anyone who kills someone must do time.”
Add to that the visceral horror many have of knives.

So to make the defense fly you really have to have your ducks in a row.

When I commented on this case among friends who work in the violence professions I found that a friend of mine, a private detective in New York I’ve done some investigative work for, was aware of the case and had volunteered to help the defense.

He volunteered to help pro bono, because they don’t have much money, and bring in another mutual friend who is a court certified witness in cases involving knives who also offered to help pro bono.

“Do you still support Trump?” they asked.

“Well I think he does some stupid things but on balance yes,” he replied.

“We don’t want help from any Trump supporter.”

Are we nuts? Is this what it’s come to?

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The Electoral College

We have again calls to abolish the Electoral College, that method by which the president is elected with the odd feature that the candidate with fewer individual votes can become president.

The call came most recently from Senator Elizabeth Warren at a town hall meeting in Jackson, Mississippi to thunderous applause.

Representative Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez called it a “racist relic” for reasons unclear.

Democrats have entertained the idea of electing the president by national popular vote since Al Gore then Hillary Clinton lost the Electoral College after winning the popular vote and point out that Donald Trump appeared to favor the idea back in 2012.

There are very few things I am certain of in politics but I am certain of one thing at least. If we abolish the Electoral College we ensure the breakup of the United States.

I’m not even sure that’s necessarily a bad idea but sooner or later that will be the result.

What some people don’t seem to grasp is that the Constitution works the way it does because of the relationship between the totality of the parts, like a car engine for example. Some parts are dispensable such as the muffler or the catalytic converter. Take either off and your car will be obnoxiously noisy or stinky, but it’ll get you where you want to go.

But try taking off the carburetor and see how far you get. Some parts are optional, some essential. The problem is knowing which is which.

Fortunately the Constitution, like your car, has an operators manual called The Federalist.

The Federalist is a collection of essays by Alexander Hamilton, James Madison, and John Jay arguing for the ratification of the Constitution, explaining how they thought it would work, and answering various objections to it.

That’s the way they did things back then, appealing to reason. Which now seems adorably quaint.

One of the chief objections was based on the work of Charles-Louis de Secondat, Baron de La Brède et de Montesquieu, the most influential political theorist of that time. If James Madison was the father of the Constitution, Montesquieu was the grandfather.

Montesquieu in The Spirit of the Laws, argued a republic could exist only on a small scale, and people took him seriously.

The Federalist, in particular Hamilton in issue number nine, argued that the proposed Constitution did not establish a single consolidated republic but a federation of small republics, each independent within its own sphere.

To that end they combined elements of monarchy with republicanism in what they called a “democratic republic.”

The House of Representatives would be elected by the people, the President and Senate chosen by the states as quasi-independent entities, and the federal government would be supported by taxes apportioned among the states and import-export duties.

That’s three props of a federal republic. But two have been knocked away by the 16th Amendment which allowed direct taxation by the fed, and the 17th Amendment which mandated direct election of senators, both ratified in 1913.

If you think either or both were good ideas consider the very next amendment, ratified in 1919, was Prohibition. Passed in a fit of popular enthusiasm the Founders warned us about.

The Electoral College is the last remaining institution that makes the United States a united federation of states rather than a super-state with political subdivisions. Abolish it, and we become an empire as Athens did soon after becoming a radical democracy.

And like Athens, when the empire becomes dominated by a few large urban areas how long before the subject provinces revolt?

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The college admissions scandal

I am shocked, shocked I tell you! Shocked to find the children of wealth and privilege are getting into universities that cater to the wealthy and privileged by means other than sheer merit.

I’m shocked that this is somehow a big deal. And I’m having a certain amount of difficulty figuring out how this is different from the way it’s always been, literally for centuries.

I graduated from a college which for years accepted barely literate students who could play football well. A system that worked swimmingly until one year four were convicted of gang rape, one for dealing cocaine, and one player shot another – a twofer.

We used to say Oklahoma had an honor squad on the football team. “Yes Your Honor. No Your Honor.”

I will confess this was not an elite university so I didn’t run into students with the same last name as those on any buildings, but my those sorority sisters were snobby about how much their dues cost mommy and daddy.

So OK, evidently this was a little different. Wealthy parents including some well-known actors paid large sums of money to fixers who arranged to have their not-too-bright offspring classified as athletes in sports they never played, faked minority status, and sometimes got ringers to sit for exams for them.

(By the way, anyone remember that’s what got Teddy Kennedy kicked out of Harvard?)

Elizabeth Warren is shocked and dismayed.

The question that arises is, for heaven’s sake why?

The sums mentioned are sometimes in the millions! If they were so concerned about their children’s future why didn’t they just set up a trust fund?

And did they ever think of what happens after their kids get into a top university? Wouldn’t they flunk out if they were unqualified?

To the first question, it’s not about qualifying their children for a high-paying profession. It’s about the prestige of the degree and the people they’ll meet while putting in the time.

As for the second, elite universities have always had provisions for legacies, the children of alumni to gut their way through to a degree with a not too strenuous course of study.

Brooke Shields, not just a pretty actress but descended from Italian royalty on her mother’s side, graduated from Princeton without ever taking a course in classics, history, economics, math, or a laboratory science.

Grade inflation in the Ivy League is a badly kept secret. If you’re not in hard science, medicine, or law you can coast through with a GPA around an A minus.

Previous generations accepted that legacies might coast through with a “gentleman’s C” but these days evidently they have to maintain the illusion that all their graduates are brilliant as well as well-connected.

There are to my knowledge only two top universities in which you have to be certifiably brilliant and work your tail off to graduate, CalTech and MIT. Because they are still dedicated to training scientists and engineers, not future members of the ruling class.

If you’re not in that league, and not many of us are, you are far better off attending a small town state university.

And that’s the other scandal in higher education. Graduates of small universities in the Midwest with student bodies in the hundreds or low thousands are matriculating with manageable debt and job offers on or even before graduation.

The irony is, Harvard for example is so rich they don’t need to charge tuition at all. They could accept only the most brilliant students of any background and hold them to high standards. But perhaps that’s not what they want.

Posted in Academic, News commentary, Op-eds | 1 Comment

Democrats, you’re scaring people

Something a few people noted about the last presidential campaign, something different from all previous campaigns.

Well actually there were a few things that have never happened before. Chief of which was someone who had never held any public office of any kind got elected. But what I’m referring to was the insult Hillary leveled, not at her opponent but at his supporters.

Remember, “basket of deplorables”?

Obama came within spitting distance of it with his remark about the bitter people who “cling to their guns and religion,” which was a significant gaffe but was sympathetic, if clueless and patronizing.

Politicians are supposed to win over the electorate, not insult them. Of course every politician realizes there are portions of the population you’re never going to convince, and other portions you may convince eventually but not this time.

But when you straight up insult them, you’ve written off the possibility of ever bringing them over and are campaigning with a brute force strategy. Win by sheer numbers and keep hold forever.

What I want to talk about though, is something more specific than “deplorable.” I mean “racist.”

I’ve lately seen many bland assertions that “Of course, definitely” Trump supporters are racists who earnestly desire the ethnic cleansing of America.

What universe are they living in where between a quarter and a half of their countrymen are genocidal madmen?

Seriously, can you walk down the street you live on and point out the houses where the people live who would take their hunting rifles and shotguns and help load box cars full of their fellow citizens to be “resettled in the east”?

This is not a trivial insult. Careers and reputations have been ruined by the mere accusation based on a chance remark, a past association, or nothing at all.

So let’s get this out of the way. There is no evidence Trump is a racist and a great many reasons to believe he is not. Starting with his past association with leaders of the civil rights movement, his efforts to desegregate a snooty country club, and his friendship with prominent African-Americans such as Mike Tyson and Jennifer Hudson.

Nor is he a homophobe and his hotels are said to be very LGBT friendly places to work. Not to mention you can’t get away with that in show business.

He is a serial fabricator and an adulterer, not even his most fervent supporters deny that.

He is on if not friendly, then businesslike terms with the mob. Nobody who builds anything taller than two stories in New York can avoid that.

He has a reputation for stiffing subcontractors. It’s a common enough practice among big businessmen, to hold back the money you owe a smaller business so you can get a few months extra interest out of it. And it’s rotten for the little guys.

But he’s not a racist!

The logic behind that charge seems to be, “All racists are jerks, therefore all jerks are racists.”

If you took freshman logic in college you know why that doesn’t follow. “All cats are animals, therefore all animals are cats.”

And that’s why people are scared, and increasingly angry. Because most people in this country are not racists. At least not the cross burning KKK kind. There are other less hateful manifestations.

People are scared of being accused of being something hateful. An accusation where the presumption of innocence does not exist and they must grovel and humiliate themselves to try to prove they aren’t.

For comparison, imagine being accused of being homosexual 50 years or so ago.

Understand why they’re scared?

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A bad day for news

For the fourth time in my life I am enjoying the smug satisfaction of having seen through a fake news story before it exploded in everyone’s face.

Sorry, I lied. I’m not enjoying it at all. I’m scared to death.

Less than a week after the major media embraced a story first aired on Buzzfeed that Trump had ordered his lawyer Michael Cohen to lie to congress was disconfirmed by none other than special counsel Robert Mueller himself, the media got caught trying to hammer some high school kids based on four minutes clipped from a video lasting well over an hour.

The story appeared first as, “Preppy-looking white kids wearing MAGA hats threateningly surround and diss revered tribal elder while chanting racistly with evil smirks on their faces.”

It began to fall apart immediately, though I had my suspicions from the first. It was just to perfect, it fit a certain narrative too well.

It’s the same feeling I got years ago when I read the Janet Cooke story of the seven-year-old heroin addict that got her a Pulitzer Prize. Later revoked after the story was found to be made up.

I read it and thought, “Bogus.” Because I’ve known junkies and junkies are not generous with their stash.

The same feeling I got reading about the murder of “Green Beret Doctor” Jeffrey McDonald’s wife and two little girls by “a black man and a bunch of hippies with candles chanting ‘Acid is groovy. Kill the pigs.’”

That’s not how crazed hippies act, it’s how everybody thought crazed hippies act.

McDonald is now serving life for the murders.

And the same feeling I got after I was a minor participant in a hatchet job on three college athletes accused of an assault in a pub.

My part was only looking for criminal records, of which there were none. And I will say in my defense that I almost immediately had suspicions, followed up on them, and tried to do the right thing. Ultimately by resigning.

But for a few brief minutes I was caught up in the excitement of a big scoop about the kind of people I’ve always disliked, entitled college jocks.

The tale of the tape has shown the situation is a lot murkier than it appeared at first, but what we do know is this. The Catholic school boys were in Washington, D.C. on January 18, for an anti-abortion rally.

While waiting to board a bus for home there were a small group from a cult called the Black Hebrews nearby who were shouting insults and racial epithets at them for at least the hour and 12 minutes the video was running.

Thereupon they were approached by a small group including one Nathan Phillips, described as a tribal elder, Vietnam vet, and Keeper of the Sacred Pipe. Phillips walked into the middle of them and began drumming in at least one kid’s face, and brandishing what appears to be a metal drumstick.

The boy does indeed have what appears to be an obnoxious smirk on his face. However last I checked the city code of Washington “standing around with an obnoxious smirk” is only a misdemeanor subject to a small fine.

Since then the media has largely backed off the story. True believers are still trying to spin it, but when high-powered columnists such as David Brooks among others come out and fesses up to rushing to judgement you know the story has collapsed.

Good on you David, but no apology can erase the fact that you looked at only a few minutes of a much longer tape and never bothered to ask the accused what their story was.

And that someone pretty obviously looked through the whole video to find just the right clip to make the story.

And that a lot of people believed it because they wanted to believe it

Posted in News commentary, Op-eds | 4 Comments

Why should we be thankful?

Well Thanksgiving is upon us again and soon we’ll be dozing in the tryptophan induced torpor that makes the compulsory family reunion tolerable.

I will be spending Thanksgiving alone with the dog. Due to an inconveniently timed snowfall my children’s last every-other-weekend visit with their mother was cancelled. So I said what the heck, take Thanksgiving this year.

Hey, that means I don’t have to cook! I’ve already got something to be thankful for.

If spending Thanksgiving alone with a dog and eating dinner at a restaurant with a Thanksgiving special served by people working on the holiday sounds glum, I assure you it sounds loads better than what friends have been dreading. Spending a day split between various groups of relatives, few of whom they like.

But they have something to be thankful for too. They only have to do this once or twice a year.

But seriously, why do we have this yearly ritual of finding things to be thankful for? Isn’t that something we should do more often?

To the best of our knowledge all agricultural peoples have some kind of harvest festival. One reason would be to relax and blow off steam after an intense period of hard work.

Another would come after looking at the harvest and thinking, “That’s probably enough so we won’t die before next harvest.”

Think of that for a moment. Every day I pass vast areas of land planted with food crops. Right now the ground is bare after harvest and much of it is stored in grain elevators nearby.

But what would happen if that harvest failed? What if every farmer in the area had to make the grim seed calculation; so much to feed my family, so much for animal feed, and enough to plant next year?

For me, nothing. Food comes from the supermarket in town. I do grow some of my own but it’s a hobby, not something my life depends on. And I don’t do canning because frankly, it’s too much work.

For the Pilgrims at Plymouth colony in 1621 it was a different story. They had come to a land which looked like a howling wilderness compared to England’s green meadows and the rich polder land of the Low Countries.

Worse, they found evidence of recent disaster. Deserted Indian villages with a few starving survivors of a plague, now known to have been the effect of European diseases but which must have looked to them like the work of the Devil.

One of those survivors was the Indian we know as Squanto, who had actually lived in England and spoke English. His knowledge of agriculture suited to the New England climate was to be essential for their survival.

Half the colony died of starvation and disease the first winter.

At that they were lucky. Their original destination was closer to the Jamestown colony in Virginia, where 90 percent of the colonists died during “The Starving Time.”

Which is why proud Virginians (if that’s not a redundancy) claim they celebrated the first Thanksgiving in the New World.

George Washington later declared a day of thanksgiving during the darkest time of the Revolution, when the success of America’s cause looked very doubtful.

During the Civil War Lincoln declared a day of Thanksgiving. The celebration by presidential proclamation has been an annual tradition since 1863, but only became an official federal holiday in 1941. Again, they were giving thanks during dark times.

So while good times last, let us be thankful. It was not always so, and yet during darker times they still found reason to give thanks.

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Election dejection

By the time this column goes to press the votes will be counted, but the election won’t be over.

I’ve been very cautious about predicting the outcome, on the eve of the day I will be bold and predict after the votes are counted some people are going to be unhappy.

The problem is, who and how unhappy? As in unhappy enough to cry “Foul!” demand recounts, or take to the streets?

That depends on whether there is a massive repudiation of the Republicans, or they make significant gains, or there is just kind of a “meh” mid-term readjustment like usual.

It’s not really possible the Democrats will take the Senate but they have hopes of taking the House. From the point of view of those who love peace and quiet that might be the best outcome.

Even some conservatives might not be too unhappy with that. The libertarian publication Reason Magazine has pointed out that government spending is generally lowest when government is divided.

If however the Democrats fail to retake the House or lose significant ground then the Devil is coming to breakfast. Because they’ve got a lot invested in this and a lot of them are flat not going to believe the results.

So before we turn this country into a permanent version of Detroit’s Devil’s Night, lets line out some of the things we’re mad at each other about.

One is, the urban-rural divide.

After searching diligently for any other explanation, we’ve admitted the only consistent predictor of voting patterns is simply population density. Rural folks vote R, urbanites vote D.

What we don’t know is why. Perhaps areas of high or low population density have different concerns that require different styles of governance. And perhaps a top-down, one-size-fits-all, my-way-or-the-highway style just doesn’t fit a country as large and diverse as ours.

And by the way it would probably help if oh-so-sophisticated urbanites didn’t look down on rural folks are inbred cross-burning bigots, and rural folks didn’t condemn city folk as America-bashing perverts.

You might think it, but it wouldn’t hurt to dial it down in public.

What complicates things is the rural areas are tax consuming and the urban areas tax exporting. Because the tax base in the hinterlands can’t support 21st century infrastructure without help. Nor does wheat and beef fly to market.

Which leads to the next problem. Redistributionist government fosters identity politics and division.

Years ago sociologist Daniel Bell pointed out that as government grows bigger and more active in redistributing wealth, people organize to grab their piece of the pie.

The first to organize were industries and professions. But as the government becomes more active in picking winners and losers, people increasingly organize along lines of kinship and ethnicity.

The worst possible development for a democratic republic.

People knowledgeable in math tell me there is a proof any voting system can always be dominated by a coalition of minorities. Think about what that implies for a minute. There will always be a faction whose interest is in division rather than unity.

Which leads to immigration. Not the legal kind.

Caravans of desperate migrants are heading for the U.S. stopping only for photo ops and coming to storm our border armed only with their misery. The left thinks this is a humanitarian crisis no decent human being can be indifferent to.

The right thinks the left is importing a massive voting block that will insure their predominance forever.

They’re both right.

Tomorrow I’m going to vote, then I’m going to go home and bar my door. See you next week. Maybe.

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How Kavanaugh’s opponents did everything wrong

Well Judge Brett Kavanaugh is now Justice Kavanaugh and depending on your point of view justice has been done the Justice, or a predator is sitting on the highest court in the land.

If you believe the latter, you’re among the 31% of the electorate (Democrats) who believe 27% of the electorate (Republicans) are sexual predators, don’t care about sexual predators, or if female are traitors to their gender.

But the fact is Democrats might have prevented Kavanaugh’s confirmation but chose instead to do pretty much everything wrong.

Kavanaugh is distrusted by a fair number of constitutional conservatives and libertarians who view him as squishy on Fourth Amendment issues and as a supporter of the feared Patriot Act.

Opposition based on the issues could have had bipartisan support and possibly convinced Republicans to move on to another nominee.

But instead the Democrats chose to argue scandal. And that’s where everything fell apart.

To begin with, though Christine Blassey-Ford delivered compelling and heart-wrenching testimony the evidence simply wasn’t there.

Her claim rested on an account of an incident 36 years old with crucial details missing, and named witnesses who did not corroborate her account.

Without witnesses or physical evidence in a case such as this, it’s one person’s word against another.

And in this case there was more than one explanation available for those who doubted her. The hard-hearted could condemn her as a liar, but the soft-hearted could plausibly believe she was simply mistaken about a long-ago traumatic experience.

A second accuser appeared, and shot herself in the foot when she claimed she vaguely remembered someone exposing themselves to her at a party – then said she thought hard about it for six days in consultation with her lawyer before she realized it was Kavanaugh.

When a third accuser appeared with a tale out of The X-Files it was an embarrassment.

The effect of this was to make it impossible for the Republicans to back down. They had to back Kavanaugh to the hilt or give the Democrats an unlimited veto over any nominee, and lose the support of their own base.

Secondly, the Democrats scared people.

One may believe Ford, and one might even be right, but the available evidence in no way justified the passionate certainty displayed by Ford’s supporters.

To put it bluntly, fanatics scare most people. The message a lot of people took was, “We can ruin you at any time with a mere accusation.”

And not just men. A lot of women were frightened for their husbands, brothers, and sons.

The mother of a slightly autistic boy told me she was terrified because her son comes off as odd a little creepy, and would be terrible at defending himself against an accusation.

Thirdly, Democrats bore the weight of hypocrisy and cynicism.

Those who supported the accusations against Kavanaugh were seen, fairly or unfairly, as the same people who excused the wife of a serial predator who covered for him. That the offense he was accused of amounted to a crude pass compared to much worse behavior they were seen as having actively excused.

Remember Gloria Steinham’s “one free grope” rule for abortion supporters?

When pressed about the much better substantiated charges Senator Keith Ellison physically abused a former girlfriend, Democrats retreated to the position that a lifetime appointment is more serious than an elected position.

Democrats were seen as moving the goalposts as the initial accusations proved thin and they started harping on tales of his college drinking. As if that were somehow unusual!

So they lost every man who de-stressed in college with alcohol and may remember getting his face slapped at least once.

You don’t have to agree and you might think it quite wrong and unfair, but you should consider that’s how a great many people see it.

Posted in Op-eds, Politics | 4 Comments